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Sunday, October 02, 2005

Does Technical Analysis Work?



This chart was taken from the most popular technical analysts website on a popular TA website.

If we break out to the upside he will just revise his chart to now show a bullish pattern instead of a bearish wedge.

We are now in a period of historically low volatility. I wonder if the low volatility will cause technical traders to take one position then be forced to take it in the other direction only to be stopped out again, when if they just held the original trade they would be profitable?

I think it would work better in a period of high volatility, but in the mean time I think mean revision trades can make a trader feel like he's coining money.

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