Thoughts and Trades: Finish this sequence

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Friday, May 13, 2005

Finish this sequence

01/01/2001 | S&P FORWARD YIELD = 3.9% | 10-yr-T = 5.1% | S&P 01/01/2002 = -10% return
10/31/2002 | S&P FORWARD YIELD = 7.1% | 10-yr-T = 4.2% | S&P 10/31/2003 = 38% return
01/31/2003 | S&P FORWARD YIELD = 6.9% | 10-yr-T = 4.2% | S&P 01/31/2004 = 37% return
01/01/2004 | S&P FORWARD YIELD = 6.4% | 10-yr-T = 4.4% | S&P 01/01/2005 = 10% return
05/13/2005 | S&P FORWARD YIELD = 7.1% | 10-yr -T= 4.1% | S&P 05/13/2006 = __% return

* my estimate is greater then 20%, what is yours?

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